The NFL playoffs are playoff-ing and we only have two more games before we see who will be participating in the Super Bowl! It’s the Conference Championships!
For those that don’t know, on my socials (Twitter/X, BlueSky and Facebook), I regularly post “Three Stats,” featuring three fantasy football stats for a player, one from each team. Nothing is changing from that point of view, although it is now in article form.
I will also be changing it to be more prop bet-focused than fantasy points-focused. We at In-Between Media (IBT) are excited to partner with PropDecks and run a free NFL Playoffs PropDeck tournament (info below), where you can win a $200 Fanatics gift card, among other prizes!
With that said, let’s get into my prop bet picks for every game, using the BettingPros Consensus lines as of Jan. 22.
Top Three NFL Player Prop Picks for Every Conference Championship Game (2025)
New England Patriots vs. Denver Broncos
Drake Maye (QB, New England Patriots)
Drake Maye is averaging 16.5 completions on 28 attempts, 223.5 passing yards, two passing touchdowns, an interception and seven carries for 38 yards in this year’s postseason. When the Broncos have faced a quarterback that was a Week 1 starter this season, excluding those who left the game early due to injury, opposing QBs have averaged 20.5 of 34.5, 231.7 passing yards, 1.2 passing touchdowns and 0.8 interceptions with 4.4 carries for 17.4 yards.
- Interceptions: OVER 0.5 – If there’s been one flaw for the Patriots in the postseason, it’s that the offense has been turning the ball over. Maye has thrown an interception in both postseason games, as well as four of his last six. The Broncos have logged an interception in six of their last seven instances when facing a Week 1 starting quarterback this season.
Kayshon Boutte (WR, New England Patriots)
In both postseason games, Kayshon Boutte got three or more receptions for 66+ receiving yards, averaging 20.7 yards per reception in those games. The Broncos have allowed a wide receiver with three or more receptions to average 55+ receiving yards and 18+ yards per reception in two of the last five games.
- Receiving Yards: OVER 37.5 – If you’ve kept up with Kayshon Boutte’s stats this season, you know that he doesn’t get the receptions; he gets the yards. You gotta go after the guy who is the hottest, and Boutte has been the hottest one of the Patriots’ WR core in the postseason. As I also mentioned, the Broncos have allowed a wide receiver to put up similar numbers in two of their last five games. While that’s not more than half, one of those games was against the Chiefs with Chris Oladokun at quarterback, during which Tyquan Thornton had a reception for 61 yards, and the other was the Chargers’ backups in Week 18. The stats do say two of the last five, but I think it’s more like two of their last three.
RJ Harvey (RB, Denver Broncos)
In three of his last four games, RJ Harvey has been held to under 50 rushing yards, but has 33+ receiving yards. Meanwhile, since Milton Williams has returned for the Patriots, no running back has rushed for more than 31 yards against the team. That also includes a current three-game streak wherein the Patriots have not allowed a running back to gain more than 20 receiving yards.
- Rushing Yards: UNDER 41.5 – Harvey’s rushing line opened at 55.5 yards, but with J.K. Dobbins possibly being activated for this game, it has since moved down to 41.5, and that’s still too high for the rookie back. No running back facing the Patriots has been within single digits of this rushing yard mark since Milton Williams returned. To make things worse, Harvey has just 48 rushing yards in his last two games combined. I can see this number continuously going lower pending Dobbins status, and I’d still take the under as long as it doesn’t reach 30 yards.
Los Angeles Rams vs. Seattle Seahawks
Kenneth Walker (RB, Seattle Seahawks)
Kenneth Walker III is averaging 13.5 carries for 83.5 rushing yards and a rushing touchdown and is averaging three receptions for 54 receiving yards against the Rams this season, including both games where he had 67+ rushing yards, a rushing touchdown and three-plus receptions for 44+ receiving yards.
- Receptions: OVER 2.5 – Walker has gotten three or more receptions against the Rams in three straight career games, as well as four of the last five games against them. It’s not only that; the team has allowed a running back to hit this number in five of their last six games.
- Receiving Yards: OVER 21.5 – Walker has 24+ receiving yards in three straight career games against the Rams, as well as averaging 29.8 receiving yards in divisional games this season. Now he gets to face the team that has allowed a running back to have 22+ receiving yards in four of their last five games, making this an easy mark to hit.
- Anytime Touchdown: Although Kenneth Walker has only scored eight touchdowns this season, two of them came against the Rams. Not to mention that he was playing alongside Zach Charbonnet, who sadly suffered a season-ending injury last week. The Rams only allowed a running back to score one total touchdown in the first eight games, but since then, it’s gone the complete opposite way, as in the last six games, the Rams have allowed six total touchdowns to the position.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba (WR, Seattle Seahawks)
When facing the Rams this season, Jaxon Smith-Njigba is averaging 8.5 receptions on 12.5 targets for 100.5 receiving yards and 0.5 touchdowns. Meanwhile, the Rams have only allowed one wide receiver in their last four games to have nine or more receptions, 100+ receiving yards and a touchdown.
- Receptions: OVER 6.5 – “JSN” has eight or more receptions in both games against the Rams this season, and he’s hit this in four straight games when not facing the 49ers. Although Jalen Coker is the only receiver to hit this line against the Rams in the last four games, a wide receiver has gotten 12+ targets against the Rams in four of the last eight games. I know Sam Darnold cannot wait to target the everlasting heck out of his WR1 in Jaxon Smith-Njigba, who is averaging 9.2 per game this season and had double-digit targets in nine of the 18 games.
- Receiving Yards: OVER 90.5 – Now, Smith-Njigba hasn’t hit this in three straight games, but he did have 96+ receiving yards in both games against the Rams this season. Coker was again the only receiver to have hit this in the last four games against the Rams, but since Week 11, the Rams have allowed six wide receivers to have nine or more targets, and all of them had at least 96 receiving yards, with an average of 129.1 receiving yards.
Puka Nacua (WR, Los Angeles Rams)
Since the Seahawks’ regular-season bye in Week 8, there has only been one wide receiver to have six or more receptions and 60+ yards against them. That would be Puka Nacua, who has done it twice, alongside averaging 9.5 receptions for 150 yards and a touchdown against Seattle this season.
- Receptions: UNDER 7.5 – Only three wide receivers have hit this line against the Seahawks all season, and while Nacua had 12 receptions in Week 16 against the Seahawks, that was without Davante Adams. In the last eight complete games with Adams, Nacua has only hit this number once.
Thanks for reading this week’s “Three Player Prop Picks for Every NFL Conference Championship (2025).” If you’re looking for more fantasy content like this or need help with the last-minute fantasy football start/sit decisions for your roster, you can find me on Facebook at “Fantasy Sports Start or Sit’Em Questions,” Twitter/X @FSSOSEQ or on BlueSky!
*Photo Credit: Neville E. Guard – USA TODAY Sports*
