Top Three NFL Player Prop Picks for Every Wild Card Game (2025)

Happy Wild Card Weekend! For those that don’t know, on my socials (Twitter/X, BlueSky and Facebook), I regularly post “Three Stats,” featuring three fantasy football stats for a player, one from each team, and I mention them with how they are scoring with fantasy points. Nothing is changing from that point of view, although it is now in article form.

I will also be changing it to be more prop bet-focused than focused on fantasy points with the regular season ending. We at In-Between Media (IBT) are excited to partner with PropDecks and run a free NFL Playoffs PropDeck tournament (info below), where you can win a $200 Fanatics gift card, among other prizes!

With that all being said, let’s get into my prop bet picks for every game, using the BettingPros Consensus lines as of Jan. 7.

Top Three NFL Player Prop Picks for Every Wild Card Game (2025)

Saturday

Los Angeles Rams vs. Carolina Panthers

Bryce Young (QB, Carolina Panthers)

In Bryce Young’s last five games, which happen to include the Week 13 game against the Rams, he has put up an average statline of 17.8/27, 176 passing yards, 1.6 passing touchdowns and 0.4 interceptions. That also includes 5.4 carries for 23.6 yards and 0.2 rushing touchdowns. In the last six games, the quarterback against the Rams is averaging a statline or 20.3/31.6, 242.3 passing yards, 2.1 passing touchdowns and 0.6 interceptions, as well as 2.6 carries for 12 yards.

• Passing Touchdowns: OVER 1.5 – Young has hit this in three of his last five games, and the Rams have allowed this in five of their last six games, plus both averages are over 1.5 passing touchdowns.
• Rushing Attempts: OVER 3.5 – Young had a five-game streak snapped with at least four rushing attempts against the Buccaneers in Week 18; the Rams have allowed a QB to rush at least three times in five of their last seven games.
• Rushing Yards: OVER 18.5 – In addition to the rushing attempts, Bryce Young also snapped a four-game streak of having 20+ rushing yards in Week 18. For the Rams, they’ve allowed a quarterback to have 19+ rushing yards in four of their last seven games.

Davante Adams (WR, Los Angeles Rams)

In Davante Adams‘ last three complete games, he has averaged 4.3 receptions for 49.6 yards and 1.3 touchdowns. In the last four games, WRs with 5-8 targets against the Panthers averaged 4.2 receptions for 47.5 yards and 0.5 touchdowns.

• Receiving Yards: OVER 54.5 – Yes, he’s only averaging 49.6 yards in his last three complete games, but Adams has 58+ receiving yards in three of his last four games and five of the last seven. That includes the Week 15 game where he left with a hamstring injury, before which he racked up a span-high 71 receiving yards. Also looking at receivers averaging five to eight targets, two of them had 33 receiving yards or fewer. However, the other two had 58+ receiving yards, and this season, when he’s scored a touchdown, Davante Adams has averaged 56.7 receiving yards.

Chuba Hubbard (RB, Carolina Panthers

In Week 13 against the Rams, Chuba Hubbard had 17 carries for 83 rushing yards, and two receptions for 41 yards and a touchdown. In the four games since then, Hubbard averaged 5.7 carries for 19.5 yards and 1.7 receptions for 7.2 yards. In four of the last five games, where the Rams have faced an RB with single-digit carries and receptions, they averaged 5.4 carries for 21.8 yards and 2.1 receptions for 17.4 yards.

• Rushing Yards: UNDER 24.5 – Both of the averages are under this number, and to make things worse, Hubbard has only 22 rushing yards combined in the last two games.

Green Bay Packers vs. Chicago Bears

Caleb Williams (QB, Chicago Bears)

In the last five games, including two games against the Packers, Caleb Williams averaged 20/34.4, 244 passing yards, two passing touchdowns and 0.4 interceptions, plus 3.2 carries for 15.4 yards. In that span, the Packers have allowed a quarterback to average 19.6/30.8 for 216.8 passing yards, 1.8 passing touchdowns and 0.2 interceptions, along with 4.8 carries for 24.4 yards.

• Passing Attempts: OVER 31.5 – Williams is averaging 34.4 passing attempts in his last five games. Not only that, but he has 34+ attempts in four of those games and in both games against the Packers. Now, the Packers haven’t faced a quarterback with more than 31 passing attempts in the last two games, but the quarterbacks were Tyler Huntley and a combo of JJ McCarthy and Max Brosmer. The Packers did allow a quarterback to have 34+ pass attempts in the three previous games.
• Passing Touchdowns: OVER 1.5 – Caleb Williams legitimately is on a five-game streak of throwing two touchdowns per game. The Packers have allowed a quarterback to do that in four of their last six games, with Huntley, McCarthy and Brosmer as the outliers.

Christian Watson (WR, Green Bay Packers)

Christian Watson has averaged 3.5 receptions for 62 yards and 0.7 touchdowns in his last four games, and averaged three receptions for 53 yards and 0.5 touchdowns in the two games against the Bears this season. In three of the last five games, the Bears have allowed a wide receiver with six or fewer targets to have 2+ receptions, 42+ yards and a touchdown.

• Receiving Yards: OVER 52.5 – Oh, no, Watson has under 29 receiving yards in two of his last three games! Is that supposed to scare me? Because while one of those games was against the Bears, that was the game Jordan Love left early. Watson averaged 62 yards per game in the last four and 53 in the last two. Also, in three of the last five games, a WR with six targets or fewer against the Bears got 52+ receiving yards. That’s not all! In the past two games against the Bears, in which Watson and Love both completed the game, Watson had 89+ receiving yards.

Jordan Love (QB, Green Bay Packers)

Jordan Love averaged 20.5/32.5 for 255 passing yards, two passing touchdowns, 1.5 interceptions and two carries for 14 yards in his last two complete games. In the last five games, quarterbacks averaged 20.6/31.8 for 248.6 passing yards, 1.6 passing touchdowns, 1.2 interceptions and 4.2 carries for 20.4 yards and 0.4 touchdowns against the Bears.

• Passing Yards: OVER 225.5 – Love has 234+ passing yards in his last three complete games, including one against the Bears. Chicago has gone back-to-back games allowing a quarterback to have 303+ passing yards, and that’s not even mentioning their average of 248.6 yards allowed.
• Interceptions: OVER 0.5 – Jordan Love has thrown three interceptions in his last two complete games. Not only do the Bears lead the league in interceptions, but they have intercepted the ball in eight out of the last ten game. Those eight games were all when a quarterback completed the game; the other two were when a backup quarterback had to enter the game.

Sunday

Buffalo Bills vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

Parker Washington (WR, Jacksonville Jaguars)

Since returning, Parker Washington has averaged 5.5 receptions on eight targets for 100 yards and 0.5 touchdowns. Since their bye, a wide receiver with 8+ targets against the Bills has averaged 5.1 receptions for 59 yards and 0.5 touchdowns.

• Receptions: OVER 3.5 – I have two player props for Washington, but this is the safer one. The Jaguars WR has averaged 5.5 receptions in his last four games since returning, and has hit this mark comfortably with five-plus receptions in three straight games. You know that stat I used earlier for the Bills? Yeah, all 8+ target WRs in that span all had at least four receptions.
• Receiving Yards: OVER 50.5 – Since returning, Washington has racked up 53+ receiving yards in each game. The reason this line is so low is that the Bills have not allowed a wide receiver to get more than 41 receiving yards in three of their last four games. Now, with that stat I said previously, only two of those six wide receivers have hit that 50+ yard threshold, but I tend to ride the hot hand and that’s Parker Washington.

Brenton Strange (TE, Jacksonville Jaguars)

Previously, I’ve said that Brenton Strange has been in the “upside down” ever since Stranger Things Season 5 was released. Yeah, he’s still there. Before the series was released, he was averaging 4.1 receptions for 49.5 yards. Since it was released, he’s been averaging 3.5 receptions for 40.5 yards and 0.5 touchdowns. There’s nothing strange about the Bills’ defense against tight ends, though; in fact, it’s scary. From Weeks 1-12, TE1s averaged two receptions for 23.4 yards against the Bills. Now, from Weeks 13-17, TE1s averaged a tad more, with 2.6 receptions for 31.8 yards and 0.5 touchdowns.

• Receiving Yards: UNDER 35.5 – Yes, Strange has hit over this number in three straight games, but look at the two non-divisional games sandwiched in between Strange’s last six games. In both games, he had 39 receiving yards or fewer. Yes, one of those games was over 35.5, but just barely. Now, look at the Bills. In their last three games, they’ve faced some popular tight ends in Hunter Henry, Harold Fannin Jr. and Dallas Goedert. Guess what they all have in common? They all got 34 receiving yards or fewer against the Bills.

James Cook (RB, Buffalo BIlls)

James Cook must not like home-cookin’, because he only averages 72.1 rushing yards, 21.8 receiving yards, 0.3 rushing touchdowns and 0.1 receiving touchdowns in home games excluding Week 18. But he does like cooking on the road, because Cook has been averaging an outrageous 121.5 rushing yards and 1.1 rushing touchdowns, plus 11.7 receiving yards and 0.1 receiving touchdowns on the road this season. When the Jaguars are at home, the RB1s facing them have been averaging 46.1 rushing yards, 9.8 receiving yards, 0.4 rushing touchdowns and 0.1 receiving touchdowns.

• Rushing Yards: OVER 80.5 – The Jaguars haven’t allowed a running back to get more than 75+ rushing yards this season! Am I insane? Yes. But not as insane as Cook is on the road, because he has gotten 87+ rushing yards in all but one road game this season. Oh, this isn’t just a season-long feat either, because he has gone seven straight non-divisional road games with 85+ rushing yards, and that includes last year’s playoffs. The Jaguars also have allowed a running back to get 58+ rushing yards in five games this season. Although not high, it’s higher than their average, and it’s happened in four of the last six games.
• Receiving Yards: UNDER 13.5 – Cook hasn’t hit this number in two of his last three games, and he hasn’t been averaging it on the road this season. The Jaguars have allowed this in four straight games, but I’m not falling for that trap, especially when an RB1 is averaging only 9.8 receiving yards when the Jaguars are at home.

San Francisco 49ers vs. Philadelphia Eagles

Jauan Jennings (WR, San Francisco 49ers)

When Brock Purdy started this season, Jauan Jennings has averaged 3.4 receptions on 5.4 targets for 39.8 yards and 0.6 touchdowns. In the last five games, excluding Week 18, when a wide receiver has five or more targets against the Eagles, they’ve averaged three receptions for 33.7 yards and no touchdowns.

• Receiving Yards: UNDER 45.5 – Not only has Jennings averaged under this line in all of Purdy’s starts, but he’s also only gone over 43 receiving yards twice in those nine starts. Only once in his last six starts alongside Purdy. Also, only one wide receiver with five or more targets against the Eagles in the last five non-Week 18 games has more than 36 receiving yards.

Saquon Barkley (RB, Philadelphia Eagles)

The Eagles’ “Positivity Bunny” didn’t work for winning games, but it did work for Saquon Barkley, because it’s been positive for Barkley since appearing. Before the bunny, Barkley averaged 16.5 rushing attempts on 83.1 scrimmage yards (61.6 rushing and 21.5 receiving) and 0.4 total touchdowns. After the bunny, Barkley is averaging 20.5 rushing attempts for 103.5 scrimmage yards (100 rushing and 3.5 receiving) and 0.7 rushing touchdowns. In the last four games, the 49ers have allowed a running back with 9+ carries to average 75 rushing yards and a rushing touchdown, while also averaging 2.6 receptions for 25 yards.

• Rushing Attempts: OVER 18.5 – Now, the 49ers haven’t faced a running back with more than 18 rushing attempts in these last four games, but in two of the last three games, they’ve faced a running back with 16+ carries. Considering that he’s well-rested and has hit 19+ carries in four straight games, I like Saquon Barkley hitting this number. I feel like this is more comfortable than any of the yardage props I am seeing.

George Kittle (TE, San Francisco 49ers)

In the seven games where George Kittle and Brock Purdy have played, which includes the two games where Kittle left early with injury, the tight end has averaged 5.7 receptions on seven targets for 67 yards and 0.7 touchdowns. Meanwhile, the Eagles have ended two of their last three non-Week 18 games allowing a tight end to have five or more receptions, but holding them to 30 receiving yards or fewer.

• Receptions: OVER 5.5 – Kittle has hit this mark in four of his seven games with Purdy this year, and has seven or more receptions in two of his last three games, including a game where he left early. As mentioned, the Eagles have allowed a tight end to have five or more receptions in two of their last three non-Week 18 games, and the one that didn’t get included was a game where Ben Sinnott and John Bates were the tight ends, neither of whom sees those types of numbers. 

Los Angeles Chargers vs. New England Patriots

Rhamondre Stevenson (RB, New England Patriots)

Rhamondre Stevenson has been one of the hottest running backs out there right now, as he’s gone five consecutive games with 77+ scrimmage yards. Not only that, he got 40+ rushing yards and 22+ receiving yards in each of those games. It’s only gotten better, as he has a touchdown in three straight games, and both a rushing and a receiving touchdown in back-to-back games. This season, the Chargers have only allowed two running backs to exceed 40+ rushing yards and 27+ receiving yards, and that hasn’t happened since Week 7. Both running backs that week did score two or more rushing touchdowns, but they’ve been more stingy to the position lately. The Chargers have now gone four straight games, including Week 18, with their backups, holding running backs to under 75 scrimmage yards and no touchdowns.

• Receiving Yards: OVER 13.5 – They’ve nailed the rushing props, and that’s why I am heading to the receiving yards props. Stevenson has comfortably hit this in five straight games, with 22+ receiving yards, and the Chargers have allowed this in two of their last three games. Now in Week 16, it was technically a fullback, not a running back, that had 14+ receiving yards against the Chargers. Last week, two different running backs had 17+ receiving yards against the Chargers’ backups, but it was Jaleel McLaughlin and Tyler Badie, not who’d you expect with RJ Harvey on the roster.
• Rushing Attempts: UNDER 8.5 – You’d think with all these good numbers that Stevenson is putting up, he’d hit this number. No, he’s been doing all that on eight or fewer carries in four straight games, and the Chargers haven’t faced a running back duo that both had nine or more carries since before their bye week in Week 12.

Drake Maye (QB, New England Patriots)

There’s a lot of twos here, just like his nickname Drake “Drake Maye” Maye. In back-to-back non-divisional games, the Chargers allowed a quarterback to get 244 passing yards and two touchdowns. For Maye’s last two non-divisional games, he got 282+ passing yards and two or more passing touchdowns. In fact, Maye has averaged 273.4 passing yards and two touchdowns in non-divisional games this season.

• Passing Yards: OVER 242.5 – I’m going to look at more recent games for the Chargers, while using Maye’s full stats on the season, because this season, non-divisional quarterbacks are averaging only 196.9 passing yards against the Chargers. But as I said, the Chargers have allowed a quarterback to go over 244 passing yards in their last two non-divisional games and 240+ passing yards in their last three.
• Passing Touchdowns: OVER 1.5 – Using the same logic and stats as above, the Chargers have allowed this in back-to-back non-divisional games. Drake Maye has also done this in back-to-back non-divisional games, with an average of two passing touchdowns in all non-divisional games this season.

Quentin Johnston (WR, Los Angeles Chargers)

Quentin Johnston has gotten hot all of a sudden, going back-to-back games with four or more receptions, five or more targets and 98+ receiving yards. In two of their last three games, the Patriots have allowed a wide receiver with four or more receptions and five or more targets to have 65+ yards.

• Receiving Yards: OVER 35.5 – Get ready for a stat overload. Not only does Johnston have back-to-back games with 98+ receiving yards, but he is also averaging 58.2 receiving yards since the bye week, 52.5 on the season and 70.6 on the road. He also has 48+ receiving yards in both of his career games against the Patriots. In seven games this season, the Patriots have allowed a wide receiver duo to get 36+ receiving yards. While it’s only happened once in the last four non-Week 18 games, they’ve allowed a wide receiver duo to have 34+ receiving yards in two of their last four games. 

Monday

Houston Texans vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

C.J. Stroud (QB, Houston Texans)

From Weeks 13-17, C.J. Stroud was averaging 19.6/31.6 for 234 passing yards, 1.4 passing touchdowns and 0.6 interceptions. Since Week 13, quarterbacks against the Steelers are averaging 19.6/30.1 for 230.5 passing yards, 1.8 passing touchdowns and an interception.

• Passing Yards: OVER 233.5 – Stroud is averaging just over this since returning, and he’s hit 244+ in two of his last three complete games. Now, the average might be 230.5 passing yards for quarterbacks against the Steelers, but in three of the last four games, a quarterback has racked up 238+ passing yards against the Steelers, with two of them having 253+.
• Passing Touchdowns: OVER 1.5 – In five out of six games this season, Stroud has thrown 2+ touchdowns and 233+ passing yards. If I like the Passing Yards prop, I also like the Passing Touchdown prop! Oh, and I think some simple math will help further make my case here: the Steelers have allowed ten passing touchdowns in their last five games.

Nico Collins (WR, Houston Texans)

In CJ Stroud’s complete games, Nico Collins has averaged four receptions on 7.3 targets for 69 yards and 0.4 touchdowns. But in the last five games with Stroud, Collins is averaging 3.8 receptions on seven targets for 84 receiving yards and 0.4 touchdowns. Since Week 11, the Steelers have allowed nine different WRs to have seven or more targets, averaging 4.4 receptions for 62.6 yards and 0.4 touchdowns. However, the six non-divisional wide receivers are averaging even worse, with only 4.3 receptions for 57.8 yards and 0.5 touchdowns.

• Receptions: UNDER 4.5 – All the averages I’ve used are saying that he’s going to be under 4.5 receptions. Nico Collins has gone four straight games with either three or four receptions. That includes two games where he has only four targets and two other games where he had 85+ receiving yards.

D.K. Metcalf (WR, Pittsburgh Steelers)

Welcome back, D.K. Metcalf! Do you want to get better at non-divisional games this season? Because this season, you are averaging 3.6 receptions on 5.9 targets for 46.1 yards and 0.4 receiving touchdowns… and it’s only gotten worse over the season. Since the Week 5 bye, Metcalf has averaged 3.5 receptions on 6.1 targets for 35.2 yards and 0.2 receiving touchdowns. In the last four non-divisional games, the Texans have only allowed one wide receiver to score a touchdown and one wide receiver to have over 55 receiving yards.

• Receiving Yards: UNDER 55.5 – Metcalf hasn’t averaged this in his non-divisional games this season. Do you want to know the most receiving yards he has gotten in his non-divisional games since the Steelers’ bye week? 55 yards, twice. Yeah, that’s seven straight non-divisional games during which Metcalf has not hit this mark. Now, the Texans have allowed a 98+ yard WR in back-to-back games, but in three of their last four non-divisional games, only one wide receiver has hit this mark.

Thanks for reading this week’s “Three Player Prop Picks for Every NFL Wild Card Game (2025).” If you’re looking for more fantasy content like this or need help with the last-minute fantasy football start/sit decisions for your roster, you can find me on Facebook at “Fantasy Sports Start or Sit’Em Questions,” Twitter/X @FSSOSEQ or on BlueSky!

*Photo Credit: Mike Dinovo – USA TODAY Sports*