Can you believe it?! We are in the double-digit weeks of the NFL season! This is the most important part of the regular season, whether you’re making a push for an undefeated season, the championship, a playoff run or to avoid that last-place punishment. So how about we start November off by crushing it?!
Before we begin, I always recap last week’s “Shore Thing Sleepers.” Unfortunately, I think I took in too much sugar, because despite all the Halloween candy-themed jokes and how sweet it was to have three straight weeks of 20+ points over projection, things turned sour last week.
It was one of those weeks where it went equally great, decent and bad. For the good: Jared Goff scored 2.6 points over projection and Tory Horton (who replaced Cooper Kupp in the article) was a big winner with 9.7 fantasy points over projection! The Titans were decent, as in Tyjae Spears was only 0.3 points under projection and Chimere Dike was 3.3 points under, thanks to his touchdown on special teams. The bad was being told that Evan Engram was going to be dressed as Rome Odunze for Halloween, because like Odunze, Engram also had zero receptions on three targets. Chuba Hubbard was definitely outplayed by Rico Dowdle and didn’t take advantage of the matchup.
So, the total was a disappointing 5.3 points under projection, but I strive to get back on track! Let’s head into Week 10, looking for some perfect ten sleepers, shall we?!
Fantasy Football Start/Sit Consideration: Week 10 Sleepers (2025)
Quarterback
Jacoby Brissett (Arizona Cardinals)
The NFL Season never ceases to surprise us. Because if Joe Flacco and Aaron Rodgers weren’t enough to convince you that the veterans are balling out lately, how about Jacoby Brissett? In the last three games, Brissett has been the starter due to Kyler Murray‘s foot injury, who is now placed on Injured Reserve (IR). And in those games, Brissett has averaged 260+ passing yards, multiple touchdowns and at least 19.8 fantasy points. That also includes a current two-game streak of no interceptions! Another fun fact is that this current three-game streak of 19.8+ fantasy points is the first time a Cardinals quarterback has done it since Weeks 1-10 of the 2020 season.
Enough of the Brissett bragging, even though he deserves it. How about the matchup? It’s time for the Cardinals to face the divisional rival Seattle Seahawks again. Now, the Seahawks have gone back-to-back games not allowing a quarterback to score multiple touchdowns and holding them to under 16 fantasy points. I want to look at a different pair of games, though. I’m talking about the two divisional games this season, against Brock Purdy and Kyler Murray, in which the Seahawks have allowed both quarterbacks to have 200+ passing yards, two touchdowns and interceptions for 18+ fantasy points.
I’m always the one to say that divisional games have the tendency to get a bit wacky, but if Jacoby Brissett’s scoring 19.8+ and the Seahawks have allowed an 18+ fantasy point quarterback in both divisional games this season, the signs are pointing up!
Running Back
Isaiah Davis (New York Jets)
Breece Hall is still a Jet, as the Jets decided that their fire sale is for defense only. So, why recommend Isaiah Davis against the Browns, who have been rough against running backs? I’ve considered multiple things here. First off, I’m intrigued because there are rumors that Breece Hall was close to being traded and actually demanded a trade. Does that mean Hall is falling out of favor in New York and we could see a look towards the future with Isaiah Davis while Braelon Allen is out?
Another thing that intrigues me is that Davis has seen four-plus targets for 22+ receiving yards in three of his last four games. Now, some of it was due to Garrett Wilson‘s absence, but he also did it against the Cowboys and Wilson played in that game. So, this is a Jets RB2 who has seen 5.2+ Points Per Reception (PPR) fantasy points in three of his last four and definitely has receiving upside. That’s when I looked at how the Browns fared against the receiving running backs and found out that they have allowed six running backs to have at least 10 receiving yards this season. While that is a low threshold, running backs averaged nine fantasy points on that receiving work. It gets even better with a bit of recency bias, as the four running backs to do it in the last three games are averaging a little bit more with 9.1 points.
Isaiah Davis might not be the Jets RB1 you hoped to grab on the waiver wire, but he’s got some receiving upside, so let’s see if the Jets use it like I hope!
Bhayshul Tuten (Jacksonville Jaguars)
Well, the “post-bye week rookie bump” didn’t come to fruition for rookie Bhayshul Tuten and the Jaguars. Or did it, but just not as we expected? I know the Jaguars’ front office is smart with their numbers, so let’s follow these numbers. Tuten has three games this season with at least six opportunities, including last week’s overtime game, when he had a season-high nine carries. In each of those games, Tuten averaged 21+ rushing yards and a touchdown for 8.1+ fantasy points. He’s making the most of the opportunities, and he gets better when he sees more!
And why not do it against their AFC South counterpart, the Houston Texans? This is a case of which of the two goods is better for you. Do you want the more recent one, where the Texans have allowed a running back duo to have 56+ scrimmage yards and 6.6+ fantasy points in two of their last three games? Or how about taking a quick flashback to Week 3, where both Travis Etienne and Tuten had 21+ rushing yards, a rushing touchdown and 8.1+ fantasy points against this Texans team.
More opportunities equals more fantasy points. Bhayshul Tuten’s showing that right now, so let’s keep it going!
Wide Receiver
Parker Washington (Jacksonville Jaguars)
The Jaguars’ wide receiving core didn’t have a very happy Halloween. Coming into the bye, it was looking up! Then, Travis Hunter got hurt with a non-contact knee injury during Thursday’s practice and was placed on IR by Friday. As if it couldn’t get any worse, Brian Thomas Jr. left the game with an ankle injury, returned, but then never came back in for the last drive of the fourth quarter and the only drive of overtime. He’s now questionable for this week, and I’m leaning towards the idea that BTJ will miss this game. Dyami Brown was also put into concussion protocol, but he may return for this game as he has already logged a limited practice on Wednesday. Oh, and I didn’t even mention that the Jaguars traded for Jakobi Meyers before the trade deadline.
That leaves us with Parker Washington being forced to step up, and he’s doing just that! He has back-to-back games with at least nine targets for 52+ receiving yards and 10.2+ fantasy points. Normally, I would focus on the matchup for my sleepers, but I think this one explains itself. Washington is the best threat the Jaguars have at the WR position, because the others are either behind him in the depth chart, just joined the team (Meyers) or are dealing with injuries.
Heck, the Texans already know what Washington can do, because when they played in Week 3, it was his only other game where he saw double-digit targets, although it did end up as a disappointing stat line of four receptions for 34 yards and 7.4 fantasy points. But the ball is going to have to go somewhere in the air and I would expect the Jaguars to use the chemistry of Parker Washington and Trevor Lawrence.
Tory Horton (Seattle Seahawks)
Did you hear that on Sunday Night? You didn’t? Oh, great, now you’re having me address the elephant in the room. Horton heard a two last week, as in Tory Horton heard a two-touchdown game on Sunday Night against the Commanders! Now, we can ride the hype of that game into next week with no worries at all! *Phone notification noise Oh, Rashid Shaheed got traded to the Seahawks at the trade deadline? Well, that was unexpected.
Good things happen when you target Tory Horton; you just have to do it at least four times. He’s had four career games in his rookie season where he was targeted four times, and in all four of those instances, Horton had 32+ receiving yards, a touchdown and 11.2+ fantasy points. What about the matchup against the Cardinals? Well, they’ve allowed a WR duo with four-plus targets in every game this season, and all but one team had both wide receivers score 6.6+ fantasy points. That’s season-long, though, and looking at recent stats makes it even better. In back-to-back games, the Cardinals have allowed a WR duo with four-plus targets to have 37+ receiving yards and 7.7+ fantasy points a piece.
Hopefully, Tory Horton hears a two-week breakout stretch, because that is what I am hearing.
NOTE: Tory Horton missed Thursday’s practice with a groin and shin injury. If he does not play, I would go to his new teammate, Rashid Shaheed.
Tight End
Cade Otton (Tampa Bay Buccaneers)
You could say Cade Otton is seeing a “ot-ton” of fantasy points lately, especially in the past four games. In that stretch, he’s averaging five receptions for 59.2 yards and 10.9 fantasy points! Of course, this is likely due to the injuries of the Buccaneers’ playmakers. Coming off the bye week, it sounded hopeful that Bucky Irving and Chris Godwin were going to come back for this game. None of them practiced on Wednesday, and the concerns are already out there about whether they will play.
Personally, it won’t matter if both, either or neither of Irving and Godwin play. Will it affect the targets? Of course! But what won’t be affected for Cade Otton is how bad the Patriots have been against the tight end position this season. Remember how the Tampa Bay tight end is averaging five receptions in most recent last four-game span? Heck, he just needs to be targeted at least four times! This season, the Patriots have faced nine different tight ends who were targeted at least four times, and all finished with at least 23 receiving yards and 7.6+ fantasy points. Yes, all nine of them! In fact, they averaged out to 4.5 receptions for 54.1 yards, 0.4 touchdowns and 12.6 fantasy points. Cade Otton can get hot when he needs to, and the Buccaneers will likely need him to do it here against a weak Patriots defense.
Thanks for reading this week’s “Shore Thing Sleepers.” If you’re looking for more fantasy content like this or need help with the last-minute fantasy football start/sit decisions for your roster, you can find me on Facebook at “Fantasy Sports Start or Sit’Em Questions,” Twitter/X @FSSOSEQ or on BlueSky!
*Photo Credit: Joseph Maiorana – USA TODAY Sports*
