Open-Ended DFS: What Ever Happened?
Whatever happened to Old Man Winter? Whatever happened to the joy that he, accompanied by Jack Frost, brought as the weather grew colder, but Christmas drew closer?
Were there ever really neighborhood-wide snowball fights, and the old-school toboggans racing downhill? Was there ever a time where kids were actually scared on Halloween, thankful on Thanksgiving and giving on Christmas?
Was it all just a scene from our favorite childhood films? Or does eventually in the end, Father Time just defeat it all?
Week 11 Water Tower DFS Picks
RB: D’Andre Swift (Detroit at Carolina) — $6,500
D’Andre Swift looks to be the latest of the Georgia University running backs to translate seamlessly into the NFL. He’s been hot-money in both season-long leagues and daily fantasy sports (DFS) lately, posing as the Points Per Reception (PPR) RB4, averaging 12.2 points per game, since the Lions’ Week 5 bye.
His high-ceiling success should continue this week as he faces Carolina this week. The Panthers may be without starting quarterback Teddy Bridgewater this week, causing instability on offense. And they also boast a healthy 100 rushing yards and one rushing touchdown per game average to opposing running backs. If that isn’t enough to give you confidence in the rookie running back, they also allow a nearly league-high 6.6 receptions per game to backs, opening Swift’s second dimension even more. – Seth Woolcock
WR: Keenan Allen ( New York Jets at Los Angeles Chargers) — $7,400
Keenan Allen has been stellar this season with Justin Herbert handling the snaps for the Los Angeles Chargers. Allen, currently the seventh-highest scoring wide receiver in Draft Kings, and heading into a matchup against the lowly New York Jets, is worth every penny of his $7,400 price tag.
New York is currently ranked 23rd against the pass and is allowing an average of 41.7 WR points per game this season. Allen has almost constantly been on the field the last three weeks, having a 97, 100 and 87 percent snap share in those contests. The volume is there. The receptions are there. The scoring opportunities are there. The matchup couldn’t be better. Grab Allen as an anchor for your DFS roster and watch the points roll in. – Nate Polvogt
WR: D.K. Metcalf (Arizona at Seattle) — $7,600
This week’s “Thursday Night Football” classic is set up to be a Big 12-esque offensive shootout on paper, with two high-powered NFC West offenses going up against relatively poor defenses. That should set the top wide receivers up for big nights, with D.K. Metcalf at the top of the list. He was all but ignored going up against Los Angeles’ Jalen Ramsey last week, and I’m sure he’s itching to get the ball this week. If Russell Wilson cooks anywhere near like he has normally this year, Metcalf should be the top beneficiary. – Elliot Hicks
RB: Dalvin Cook (Dallas at Minnesota) — $9,000
Dalvin Cook comes with a hefty price tag this week, and it’s worth it. Since returning from injury in Week 8 Cook has been a machine. He’s rushed 82 times for 465 yards and five touchdowns, averaging 5.67 yards per carry. Cook has also caught eight passes for 125 yards and one touchdown.
Last week Cook was stifled by the Chicago Bears defense all game, yet still managed to run for 96 yards and provide a solid 15-point week. Well, this week, Cook gets to run against Dallas at home and this offense will go through him the entire game as they steamroll the 2-7 Cowboys. Even with missing two full weeks, Cook is just 46 rushing yards away from hitting 1,000 on the season and I want him on my team when he does it. – Thomas Cuda
Week 11 Typewriter DFS Picks
QB: Alex Smith (Cincinnati at Washington) — $5,300
Alex Smith is the best bargain at the quarterback position this week. He cut through the Detroit defense in his first start back from his horrific injury, throwing for 390 yards in a narrow loss. The Bengals’ defense was just lit up by Ben Roethlisberger and is in the bottom 10 against the pass in fantasy this year. If you need to free up cap room for some other studs, Smith could be the way to go this week. – Hicks
RB: Nyheim Hines (Green Bay at Indianapolis) — $5,200
What a roller coaster the Indianapolis backfield has been this season. Jonathan Taylor was the truth until he wasn’t. Jordan Wilkins was the answer until he wasn’t. And now it’s Nyheim Hines time. While he is only averaging 12.6 points per game in the season, he has registered 20+ DFS point games two of the last three weeks.
Hines has not only been a factor in the run game where he had 12 carries for 79 yards and a touchdown last week but also in the passing attack where he saw six targets for five catches, 45 yards and a touchdown, as well.
This week should be a big one for Hines against a Green Bay defense that has allowed the second-most DFS points to running backs so far in 2020. Nyheim Hines is a value RB with a lot of upside this week, and you are going to want him in your lineup. – Polvogt
WR: Jakobi Meyers (New England at Houston) — $4,900
It’s not a secret that Cam Newton has not been when passing this year, and certainly hasn’t been what the Patriots were hoping to get. That being said, Newton still has to throw the ball every week and someone will benefit from that. That someone now being Jakobi Meyers.
Meyers was named a starter in Week 7 and hasn’t looked back, putting up 17 fantasy points per game since then. Meyers was the only receiver Newton targeted in week 10 against the Baltimore Ravens and now gets a much more favorable matchup against the Houston Texans this weekend. With an average of nine targets per game and a low price tag, I’m all in on Meyers outperforming this week. – Cuda
WR: Marquise Brown (Tennessee at Baltimore) — $5,800
If not now, when? Marquise “Hollywood” Brown and the entire Ravens offense have underperformed this season. He currently sits at the PPR WR47 and has not hit double-digits fantasy points since Week 5.
While both his season thus far and his DraftKings price this week are both mediocre at best, his matchup this week is not. Both Tennessee Titans cornerbacks, Malcolm Butler and Desmond King seemed to have regressed this season, consistently being burnt off the ball by speedy receivers. Tennessee sits in the bottom-five teams against opposing wideouts, allowing an average of over 200 yards and one touchdown per game to them.
DFS is all about chasing upside. And I’m chasing it all the way to Hollywood here in Week 11. – Woolcock
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