Scott Fish Bowl: #SFB13 Scoring Buy or Sells

Scott Fish Bowl season is here! What’s considered the world’s most prestigious fantasy football tournament that brings analysts, fans and celebrities together, all in the name of charity, is back for its 13th rendition (SFB13).

That charity is, of course, Scott Fish’s Fantasy Cares. The organization encourages adding charitable elements to all leagues while donating thousands of dollars of fundraising to Toys for Tots and other non-profits. If you’re interested in donating, you can do that here.

Each year, Scott Fish creates a unique scoring system that makes this very much not your typical 12-team fantasy football league. You can find the full scoring and rules on the SFB website, but here is the basic rundown.

• Roster = QB, RB, RB, WR, WR, WR, TE, SUPER FLEX, FLEX, FLEX, FLEX
• Kickers may be flexed if playing on My Fantasy League but are required on Sleeper instead of a third FLEX. Starting this year, kickers also score a considerable amount of points.
• QBs are important as they score six points per passing TDs and bonuses for stats like completions, first downs and carries. However, the dropoff isn’t as steep as in previous years because QBs will not be penalized for incompletions, turnovers or sacks.
• RBs become more valuable this season with a .25-point carry bonus, a full point per first down and per reception.
• WRs always tend to score less in Scott Fish Bowl scoring, and that seems to be the case still.
• TEs are huge! They have the same scoring as WRs, but get an extra point per first down and per reception.

In-Between Media’s (IBT) own Scott Rinear put together great data that explains just how many points each player scored in 2022 using SFB13 scoring.

#SFB13
OK, fixed RBs & WRs, feel like I’m just spamming everyone at this point 😆

Here’s all the stuff I’ve posted in 1 tweet

QB ⤵️
TE
WR
RB
All positions

‘22 PPR w/ SFB13 scoring
Week 1-17
Includes %FPTS from all scoring methods

QB on Patreon (free): https://t.co/UWW539R8Ji pic.twitter.com/kQeB90SNuK

— Scott Rinear (@MunderDifflinFF) June 9, 2023

Scott Fish Bowl: #SFB13 Scoring Buy or Sells

Using this data and considering their current Scott Fish Bowl Average Draft Position (ADP), we can get a good picture of which players are being over and undervalued in drafts. That’s the point of this piece – to get managers away from thinking about traditional fantasy football values and reconsider their value in SFB13 scoring as the big dance approaches.

Here are my early buy and sells for Scott Fish Bowl at their current ADP.

Scott Fish Bowl Buys

Anthony Richardson (QB, Indianapolis Colts)

Scott Fish Bowl ADP has Colts rookie QB Anthony Richardson at 35 overall, but he’s gone as early as 14 and as late as 66. There is no negative scoring for incompletions, turnovers or sacks as there has been in the past. That, plus Richardson’s rushing projection, gives him a high floor.

The ceiling comes into play when you consider how high mobile QBs finished in SFB13 points per game among all positions:

• Jalen Hurts – Player No. 1 overall (41.0 SFB13 points per game)
• Josh Allen – Player No. 2 overall (40.6 SFB13 points per game)
• Lamar Jackson – Player No. 6 overall (32.8 SFB13 points per game)
• Justin Fields – Player No. 7 overall (32.6 SFB13 points per game)
• Daniel Jones – Player No. 15 overall (29.3 SFB13 points per game)
• Marcus Mariota – Player No. 28 overall (25.5 SFB13 points per game)

Mariota did not have a world-beating season. He completed 184 of 300 attempts for 2,219 yards and 15 TDs while rushing for 438 yards and four TDs. On a per-game average, I see that being the floor for Richardson this season. His upside is that of a top-12 overall player. I am comfortable taking him as early as the first round in Scott Fish Bowl drafts.

James Conner (RB, Arizona Cardinals)

Volume matters in fantasy football and even more in Scott Fish Bowl this season. James Conner will get a ton of it this season, being the only proven commodity in the Arizonan backfield and being without QB Kyle Murray for most of the season. Conner averaged 14.1 carries and 4.5 targets per game – good enough for player No. 37 overall in SFB13 scoring.

I think that volume increases this season with no DeAndre Hopkins or Eno Benjamin and Colt McCoy likely running the show for most of the season. Whether or not Conner remains healthy is the question here. But it’s a risk one I’m willing to take at his current ADP (83 overall), late in the seventh round.

Pat Freiermuth (TE, Pittsburgh)

The secret is out on the tight end position, pushing their Scott Fish Bowl ADPs through the roof. Mark Andrews is an early second-round pick, while T.J. Hockenson is going at the end of the second round. If that price is too high for you to pay, please consider targeting Pittsburgh Steelers tight end, Pat Freiermuth.

“Muth” is currently being drafted in the seventh round with an ADP of 77 overall. That’s right in line with his output a season ago, as he finished last year as player No. 78 overall in SFB13 scoring. That was in a season where Mitchell Trubsiky began as the starter, Kenny Pickett was a rookie and Freiermuth caught only two TDs on 63 receptions and 732 yards.

Major positive TD regression is coming Freiermuth’s way this year. He should also see a bump in overall volume. Pickett should mature and the addition of blocking tight end Darnell Washington should free up Freiermuth to run more routes. The former Penn State Nittany Lion is a sound pick anywhere around the sixth or seventh round.

Scott Fish Bowl Sells

George Kittle (TE, San Francisco 49ers)

Someone will make the mistake of reaching for George Kittle in your Scott Fish Bowl draft. Don’t let it be you. We know Kittle; we love Kittle. The dude is a weapon and a force to reckon with on the field. However, that doesn’t mean he’s worth the price at No. 37 overall, around the round three-four turn.

Kittle ranked as player No. 57 overall last season in SFB13 scoring. That was without Christian McCaffrey there for six games and Deebo Samuel injured for four. We also are not sure if Brock Purdy will be ready to go by Week 1 or if we’ll see a revolving door between Trey Lance and Sam Darnold to begin.

I like Kittle; I’ve drafted him for the past two seasons in this league. But he can get banged up and now falls into the category of a better NFL player than a fantasy football player – especially in Scott Fish Bowl.

Kenneth Walker (RB, Seattle Seahawks)

Volume is now king in #SFB13 scoring, and unfortunately, that’s something that’s not guaranteed to Kenneth Walker anymore. The Seahawks used a second-round pick on Zach Charbonnet in the 2023 NFL Draft. Charbonnet handled an average of 229.5 touches per season in the past two years for the UCLA Bruins. It would seem that Charbonnet will not only take most of the 119 carries and 48 targets that RBs Rashaad Penny, DeeJay Dallas, Travis Homer and Tony Jones had. But he’ll also eat at least a bit into Walker’s 15.2 carries per game.

It took 263 combined touches and nine TDs for Walker to finish as the No. 66 overall player as a rookie in SFB13 scoring. I’m not sure he can get there again with the influx of Charbonnet and rookie WR Jaxon Smith-Njigba, now being a part of this Seattle offense. This makes him a reach at his current Scott Fish Bowl ADP of 54 overall.

Tee Higgins (WR, Cincinnati Bengals)

As noted above, WRs are really getting nerfed in the SFB13 scoring. According to Scott Rinear’s data, their SFB13 points-per-game average is much closer to their PPR points-per-game average than any of the other positions. And among the top-28 WRs drafted who played last year (sorry, Calvin Ridley), Higgins’ SFB13 scoring average is the closest to his regular PPR scoring average.

This is likely because of Higgins’ high yards-per-catch average and lower volume totals compared to other elite WRs who aren’t playing opposite Ja’Marr Chase. Higgins was just player No. 80 overall in SFB13 scoring last year, yet he has a Scott Fish Bowl ADP of 45 overall.

If I still don’t have my top WR and Higgins is on top of the board, I’ll draft another position. This way, I can wait several rounds and take WRs who scored almost as much as Higgins’ 18.9 SFB13 points per game, including Amari Cooper (58 overall ADP – 18.8 points per game) and Tyler Lockett (90 overall ADP – 18.2 points per game).

Thanks for reading my Scott Fish Bowl buys and sells. Check out more of our fantasy football content and other written work here at In-Between Media, or head over to our YouTube channel to get your fix via video.

And for more fantasy football and feel-good content, you can find me on Twitter @Between_SethFF.