Home Columns Open-Ended DFS: Blood vs. Water

Open-Ended DFS: Blood vs. Water

by IBT Media Staff

There’s an old, medieval proverb that states “blood is thicker than water.” Meaning that familial bonds are always stronger than the bonds of friendship or love.

Like most scripture written hundreds plus years ago, it’s hard not to challenge this thought.

As even in the driest of climates today, water, created organically through our lives and experiences, can flow fiercely through the night, so much that they can wash out any unwanted red stains.

Week 6 Water Tower DFS Picks

RB: Mike Davis (Chicago at Carolina) — $7,000

Mike Davis is PPR RB7 this season in just three full-games as the Panthers starter.

When Christian McCaffrey went down in Week 2 and went to IR, there were a lot of us who just wanted to cry, myself included. McCaffery has been a high production RB1/2 since his rookie season and was a fallback Flex or RB1 start for DFS. You spent your money on him and always felt good about it. What to do now?

Mike Davis is what. He’s has emerged as the RB1 in McCaffery’s absence, and in convincing fashion. Since McCaffery went down, Davis has not-so-quietly torn up the field, averaging 25 Points Per Reception (PPR) fantasy points per game. Head coach Matt Rhule is using Davis like he’s “McCaffery Part Two.” 

This week Carolina heads to Chicago to play against a defense that hasn’t been stellar against the run game. Look for the Davis show to continue this weekend against his former squad. – Nate Polvogt

QB: Kyler Murray (Arizona at Dallas) — $7,300

Kyler Murray has been amazing for your fantasy teams this year. He’s had a great rushing floor getting a touchdown on the ground in all but one game so far. Though he’s thrown more interceptions than is preferred (six), he’s been airing it out efficiently and has provided 27.9 fantasy points per game. 

This week the Cardinals travel to Dallas to play a Cowboys team with an injured defense and that is missing their superstar QB. Last week Murray completed 27 passes for 380 yards and one touchdown while rushing nine times for 31 yards and a touchdown, giving you 30.3 fantasy points. I’m fully expecting to see a similar performance this week. Murray is the quarterback I’m most excited to fire up this week. – Thomas Cuda

Jonathan Taylor (Cincinnati at Indianapolis) — $6,400

It’s been a rather slow past month for rookie running back Jonathan Taylor after Marlon Mack suffered a season-ending Achilles injury in Week 1, only averaging 14.1 PPR points during Weeks 2-5.

However, I think the big breakout game for Taylor comes this weekend against a Cincinnati defense that allows 156 rushing yards per game (third-most). The Colts self-admittedly know that rookie Joe Burrow is a better quarterback than their veteran Philip Rivers. To keep their defense, the best in the league fresh, expect a heavy dose of Taylor to kill clock in this one, making him a very attractive DFS play for the fair price of $6,400. – Seth Woolcock

WR: DeAndre Hopkins (Arizona at Dallas) — $8,200

Sure, it’s an easy copout picking the most expensive WR in the league this week. But this should be an especially good week for the Cardinals’ No. 1 wideout. Dallas is next-to-last in the league against wide receivers and DeAndre Hopkins has averaged nearly 24 PPR points per game this season. 

The Cowboys will likely spend more time working on offensive game plans to help Andy Dalton get acclimated as the starter, so Kliff Kingsbury’s Arizona offense could shred the Dallas defense this week. – Elliot Hicks

Week 6 Typewriter DFS Picks

WR: Tyler Johnson (Green Bay at Tampa Bay) — $3,400

In his debut, rookie Tyler Johnson, who had a standout collegiate career at the University of Minnesota, showed a great connection with Tom Brady in Week 5. It’s not a stretch to say that outside of Mike Evans, Johnson looked like the best receiver for Tampa Bay, securing four of six targets for 61 yards.

If Chris Godwin is, in fact, out in Week 6, against the middle-of-the-road Packers’ defense, Johnson could be a deep cut in DFS that puts up a solid point total for his price, while also freeing up cap room to put elsewhere on your roster. – Woolcock

WR: Preston Williams (New York Jets at Miami) — $4,700

Miami is a really hard team to gauge every week. With Ryan Fitzpatrick at the helm and what seems to be a weaker run game, the ball has been in the air a lot through the first five weeks of the season.

Preston Williams got a lot of pre-season hype that he had yet to live up to until an explosion last week against San Francisco. His 23.6 points in DFS was more along the lines of what most were expecting. 

It seems Fitzpatrick finally noticed Williams, and with DeVante Parker drawing the opposing team’s top cornerback, you can expect more of the same this week. The New York Jets have a middle-of-the-road pass defense, Fitzpatrick is riding a hot hand and Williams appears to be the somewhat under-the-radar beneficiary, especially at the low price of just $4,700. – Polvogt

RBs: Adrian Peterson & D’Andre Swift (Detroit at Jacksonville) — $4,700 & $4,500

Nobody knows for sure who will end up with more touches out of the Lions’ backfield this week, but both the veteran Adrian Peterson and young gun D’Andre Swift could be in for a strong week in Jacksonville. 

The Jaguars are just 26th-best against the run this season in fantasy and both of these Detroit backs average around 10 PPR points per game. It’s just a matter of picking up the one who ends up with more playing time, as it should be a strong week for the Detroit backs. – Hicks

TE: Robert Tonyan (Green Bay at Tampa Bay) — $5,100

Remember Richard Rodgers? I didn’t either. Are you going to remember Robert Tonyan next year? Maybe not, but you’ll remember him this week, and his breakout performance in Week 4. 

He quietly had decent numbers in Week’s 2 and 3, picking up 10.5 and 16 points in DFS. Week 4 saw an explosion for Tonyan, where we saw him grab six catches for 98 yards and three touchdowns, netting him 33.8 points in DFS. That’s something. 

It should be noted that in Week 4 Green Bay was missing Davante Adams and his probable return to the field for this weekend could impact Tonyan’s targets. However, what we saw from Tonyan in Week 4 wasn’t a fluke, and while he may not hit the 30+ point tier this weekend, he has to be considered a top- tier TE in DFS for his red zone work. Tonyan feels like a must-buy right now with the price so low. – Polvogt

Thanks for reading. And for more feel-good life and fantasy football advice, follow the site on Twitter @IBT_Media.

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