“Between Bets” is an article series revealing our staff’s best wagers across the NFL, College Football, NASCAR and PGA Tour. This edition’s bets feature our favorite wagers for the 2024 NASCAR Cup Series Championship at Phoenix Raceway.
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
2024 NASCAR Cup Series Championship Betting Picks: Outrights
Ryan Blaney (+400)
The favorite to win both the race and the title at Phoenix is Ryan Blaney, who’s looking to repeat his 2023 path to a championship this year. Blaney needed to win Martinsville in both years to advance to the title race, getting it done once again last weekend.
The No. 12 has a trio of wins this year (Iowa and Pocono being the others), along with 11 T5 and 17 T10 finishes. Blaney has been red-hot in the playoffs, finishing P6 or better in five playoff races.
Phoenix is perhaps the perfect track for Blaney to also race for a title. He’s earned six straight T5s here, including last fall’s win and a P5 in the spring. He’s led 431 laps in the desert and, for his career, has three poles, thee P2s, eight T5 and 12 T10 finishes.
William Byron (+600)
William Byron is the lone Hendrick Motorsports (HMS) car and Chevrolet in the title race. The No. 24 has advanced with unbelievable consistency as of late, finishing between P2 and P6 in each of the last six races.
Byron has a trio of wins for the season, but all came in the first eight races at Daytona, Circuit of the Americas (COTA) and Martinsville. He has 12 T5 and 20 T10 finishes in 2024.
Phoenix didn’t end well for Byron this spring (P18), but he’s had good results otherwise in the desert. He won the spring 2023 Phoenix race and has an additional pair of T6 runs in the Next-Gen car. Last fall, Byron won the pole and led 95 laps but came up short of the title.
Joey Logano (+650)
The even-year magic continues above all else for Joey Logano, having run perhaps the worst statistical season ever to have a chance at a championship. But clutch performances when the time is right, and a pair of championships on his resumé remind us that it is unwise to write him off.
Logano’s victories came on a superspeedway at Atlanta and in unbelievably strong fuel-mileage performances at Nashville and Las Vegas, representing half of his 6 T5 finishes for 2024. The No. 22 earned 12 T10s this season and would not have been a playoff team on points had his fuel run out at Nashville.
That said, Logano has won thrice at Phoenix, including for the 2022 title. Leading 908 career laps in the desert, he has one other T10 in the Next-Gen era here. The No. 22 finished P34 in the spring due to a crash.
In most other sports, the best team rarely is the team to win the championship, leaving the door wide open for Logano.
Tyler Reddick (+750)
The regular season champion, Tyler Reddick, finds himself at the longest odds to win the championship. The No. 45 had a wildly consistent regular season and, for the year, has 12 T5s and 20 T10s. His unbelievable last-lap pass to win at Homestead accompanies wins at Michigan and Talladega this year.
The 28-year-old finds himself at the bottom of the odds board largely because of an inconsistent (to put it kindly) playoff run. He has just two T10s in the playoffs and only one other finish better than P20, which came at the ROVAL with crash damage.
Phoenix is another reset button that Reddick needs. The No. 45 led 68 laps this spring in the desert, finishing P10. He has two T5s and three T10s here.
Check out all of our content for the 2024 NASCAR Championship weekend:
- NASCAR DFS Picks, Tiers & Rankings: 2024 NASCAR Cup Series Championship
- Between Bets: 2024 NASCAR Craftsman Truck Series Championship Outrights
- Between Bets: 2024 NASCAR Xfinity Series Championship Outrights
- Between Bets: 2024 NASCAR Cup Series Championship Outrights
- PropKings: 2024 NASCAR Cup Series Championship
Thanks for reading my best bets for the 2024 NASCAR Cup Series Championship. Be sure to catch us live every Thursday night at 8:30 p.m. EST on The Backroad!
Also, follow me on Twitter/X @ehicks39 for more NASCAR takes and betting advice.
*Photo Credit: Jim Dedmon – USA TODAY Sports*
