We made it to Week 11! Although double ones mean “snake eyes,” we’ll save that for our opponent. We’re all about good vibes here, and hoping our fantasy football team is an 11 out of 10!
As always, I’ll recap the previous week’s “Shore Thing Sleepers.” In Week 9, I jokingly wrote that I must’ve got a witch’s brew because it went pretty well. In Week 10, I returned for the witch’s brew and must’ve taken a couple of wrong turns. Instead of finding a cauldron, I found Waldron’s luck, as in Shane Waldron, the former Bears offensive coordinator, who was relieved of his duties on Tuesday after producing an eyesore of an offense. I say that because last week was an eyesore, as all but one of my featured players scored 2.5 points under projection.
I only had one legitimate bright spot last week. Somehow, I found two running backs with no carries that got all their fantasy points through receptions. Shoutout to Samaje Perine for at least doing something and scoring 0.8 points over projection. The total was 22.8 points under projection. Let’s just go ahead and erase that from our minds and focus on a bounce-back week!
So, it’s time for some fantasy football sleepers that you might want to consider in your Week 11 start/sit decisions.
Fantasy Football Start/Sit Consideration: Week 11 Sleepers
Quarterback
Anthony Richardson (Indianapolis Colts)
We have another quarterback change happening! This time, the Colts are switching back to Anthony Richardson after a two-game stint with Joe Flacco. That move made a lot of Colts fans happy. From a fantasy football point of view, this move makes me happy, and here’s why.
In Richardson’s five complete games this season, he is averaging 221 total yards, a touchdown, 1.4 interceptions and 13.6 fantasy points. It could be better, but hear me out. Ever since Robert Saleh was canned from being the Jets’ head coach, the defense has been, to say nicely, trash. In those five games against the Jets, opposing quarterbacks are averaging 249.8 total yards (218.2 passing), a passing touchdown, a rushing touchdown and 21.4 fantasy points. I did, however, combine Drake Maye‘s and Jacoby Brissett‘s stats since Maye suffered an injury halfway through the game in Week 8.
It’s not even just the passing potential. Running quarterbacks are having a great time against the Jets, a specialty of Richardson’s. In the last five weeks, the Jets have allowed the fifth-most rushing yards to quarterbacks. In that same span, the Jets have allowed the most rushing touchdowns to quarterbacks with five!
Running Back
Tyjae Spears (Tennessee Titans)
Consistency is key. That’s something that Tyjae Spears has pretty much been this season. In five of his six games, he’s scored over 5.1 Points Per Reception (PPR) points. That includes scoring over 8.1 in three of the last four! Being behind Tony Pollard, he’s putting up averages of 9.1 touches, 40.1 scrimmage yards, 0.1 touchdowns and 7.5 fantasy points.
The Vikings have only faced two RB2s this season who have seen nine-plus touches. While one busted and another boomed, the most recent one boomed with 70 scrimmage yards and would have had 10 fantasy points if not for a fumble. That player was David Montgomery in Week 7. Now, while I’m not comparing the two, we can build off of that. In two of the last four games, the Vikings have allowed 100+ rushing yards to running backs. In all but one game where the Titans RB duo is active and Will Levis is starting, they’ve gone for 80+ rushing yards.
The Titans love to use their running backs, and the Vikings are showing some holes against the run. I expect Spears to have at least a decent game.
Ezekiel Elliott (Dallas Cowboys)
It’s 2024, and the Cowboys still love using Ezekiel Elliott in their running back rotation despite his suspension in Week 9. I know you see the name, and you’re immediately scratching your head. I am doing the same thing, trying to understand this offense. Still, there is a potential touchdown upside here.
It might be only one touchdown, but if you are in a touchdown-dependent league, that might be huge fantasy points! The Cowboys only have two rushing touchdowns by their running backs this season; both of them have been scored by Elliott. Those two games happen to be the only games he scored double-digit fantasy points.
The Texans have allowed five rushing touchdowns this season, but the Texans offense has been turning the ball over a lot this season, with 11 total turnovers, including one in three straight games. If the Cowboys get lucky with a turnover, or if their offense can get down to the red zone, there’s one guarantee you will see: Ezekiel Elliott carrying the ball. If you need him in a pinch, hopefully, he’ll run it in for a score.
Wide Receiver
Rome Odunze (Chicago Bears)
I thought the third time was the charm?! On Sunday, Rome Odunze broke a two-game streak of not being the top fantasy receiver for the Bears. Despite the horrendous offense that you are seeing, the Bears’ rookie has been providing fantasy points in the last three games. Odunze is averaging four receptions on 6.3 targets for 56 yards and 9.7 fantasy points in that span.
He might not have worked out for me last week, but I am OK with trusting him for a second straight week. The rookie combo of him and Caleb Williams loves to go for explosive plays. Overall, 30% of Odunze’s total targets this season have been 20+ air yards, the fifth-highest among 82 WRs with 30+ targets. This season, the Packers have allowed two touchdowns to a big play like that.
Odunze is also averaging 14.4 air yards per target, the most of any Bears receiver. The Packers have allowed five receivers against them to have over 14.4+ air yards per target. Those receivers averaged 44.8 receiving yards, 0.6 touchdowns and, more importantly, 12.2 fantasy points. Only one of the five in that quota did not surpass 7.9 fantasy points.
Hopefully, a new offensive coordinator can help exploit this, and Odunze can put up some more fantasy points and make Bears fans and fantasy managers happy!
Diontae Johnson (Baltimore Ravens)
You would think being traded away from the Panthers would make you happy, but this trade has only made fantasy football managers upset. Diontae Johnson found this the hard way after two straight games with two or fewer targets. Still, I think Johnson just had a lot going on in such a short time. Learning a playbook and playing two games in 10 days was probably too much for him. Now that he’s gotten a “mini-bye,” I think he will bounce back on Sunday.
It happens to be a “revenge game” for Johnson! The Pittsburgh Steelers drafted the Toledo product in the third round of the 2019 NFL Draft. He can get revenge on a defense that has allowed a non-WR1 to be the top fantasy receiver in four of their last six games. Running behind Zay Flowers, Johnson is currently the clear WR2 or even WR3 for the Ravens. So, he can join in on the party the non-WR1s had recently, with those four receivers averaging 5.7 receptions for 83.7 yards, 0.5 touchdowns and 17.1 fantasy points per game. This includes a floor of 9.8 fantasy points!
Here’s to hoping he gets revenge on the team that traded him away and makes fantasy managers who dropped him regret it!
Tight End
Pat Freiermuth (Pittsburgh Steelers)
Pat Freiermuth has been mixing it up in his three games with Russell Wilson as the starting quarterback. First, he had 51 receiving yards for 7.1 fantasy points. Those 51 receiving yards are his highest total with Wilson. In Week 8, he put up an abysmal 3.9 fantasy points, his season-low with Wilson. Finally, last week, he had 17 receiving yards, his lowest with Wilson, but made up for it with a touchdown to score 10.7 fantasy points, his highest total with Wilson. This all averages to a 2.3 reception for 29 yards, 0.3 touchdowns and a 7.2 fantasy points.
The Ravens’ game against the Broncos in Week 9 was an outlier, as Baltimore has recently allowed plenty of fantasy points to the tight end position. A tight end has scored double-digit fantasy points against them in four of their last five games. The Ravens’ saving grace was not allowing a touchdown to a tight end, as they didn’t do in their first seven games. Things have changed for the worse, allowing two touchdowns to a tight end in their past three games. As a whole, the last five tight ends are averaging five receptions for 55 yards, 0.4 touchdowns and 12.7 fantasy points against the Ravens.
Check out all of our Week 11 fantasy football content:
- Fantasy Football Whiplash! | Week 11 News & Notes (2024)
- Week 11 Fantasy Football Advice Mailbag (2024)
- Week 11 NFL DFS Picks & Lineup Advice (2024)
- Week 11 Fantasy Football Trade Targets (2024)
- Week 11 Shore Thing Sleepers (2024)
- Week 11 In the Scope Targets (2024)
- PropKings: NFL Week 11 (2024)
Thanks for reading this week’s “Shore Thing Sleepers.” If you’re looking for more fantasy content like this or need help with the last-minute fantasy football start/sit decisions for your roster, you can find me on Facebook at “Fantasy Sports Start or Sit’Em Questions” or on Twitter/X @FSSOSEQ.
*Photo Credit: Jeff Hanisch – USA TODAY Sports*