“PropKings” is an article series revealing our staff’s best prop bets across the NFL, College Football, NASCAR and PGA Tour. This write-up features my favorite NFL Week 11 player props.
Let’s find some winners, add to our bankrolls and come out of the weekend on top.
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
NFL Week 11 Player Prop Bets of the Week (2024)
J.K. Dobbins (RB, Los Angeles Chargers) | Over 60.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
The Chargers play host to the Cincinnati Bengals in a game flexed to “Sunday Night Football” this weekend. Justin Herbert has played well (725 yards, five touchdowns and zero interceptions) in the team’s current three-game winning streak. However, the offensive acumen of those teams does not match that of Joe Burrow and Cincinnati. The last thing Los Angeles wants to do is end up in a shootout.
With that in mind, I expect Jim Harbaugh and Co. to stick to their ball-control roots. The best way to eliminate sustained drives is to control the clock with their stud running back, J.K. Dobbins, leading the way. The former Ohio State Buckeye has smashed the over in six of 10 games this season, and his average is 74 yards per game is well above this Week 11 line. Cincinnati also allows the 12th-most rushing yards per game to opposing running backs and would likely rank even worse if for not forcing teams into a shootout.
RELATED: Between Bets: 2024 College Football Week 12 ATS & Total Picks
George Pickens (WR, Pittsburgh Steelers) | Over 69.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
After Najee Harris completely blew it when I bet him last week, I’m going right back to the Steelers’ well for the game against division-rival Baltimore. It’s no secret that the Ravens rank dead last in the league against receivers. In fact, in five home games, they’ve allowed a 95-plus yard receiving effort all five times, including being eviscerated by Ja’Marr Chase.
George Pickens has amassed 276 yards receiving in three games with Russell Wilson. His lowest total of those three was 74 yards. Given his propensity for big gains and contested catches, it’s hard to believe a suspect secondary can slow him down.
It’s worth noting that for an extra half-yard, you can get a Pickens bet of over 70-plus yards for -110. Betting over 80-plus jumps to a +135 payout. I’d even consider the over 100-plus for a tidy +275. If he’s going to go over the century mark again, this is the matchup to do it.
Josh Allen (QB, Buffalo Bills) | Anytime Touchdown (+120)
Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen has found paydirt with his legs four times this season. With Kansas City’s third-ranked defense against the run expected to bottle up running back James Cook, the weight is squarely on Allen’s shoulders. With uncertainty in the pass-catching corps, four different receivers have led the team in targets over the last four games. This week, Dalton Kincaid, Keon Coleman and Amari Cooper all have injury-report designations as of Friday’s report.
The Chiefs have dispatched the Bills from the playoffs in three straight years, something that Allen has been reminded of ad nauseam. The pressure is on him to capitalize against the league’s lone unbeaten team. It’s in these situations that Allen is at his best, and at least one solo trip to the promised land is in the cards.
Best of luck with all of your bets this weekend. Brick by brick, we build!
Check out all of our Week 11 fantasy football content:
- Fantasy Football Whiplash! | Week 11 News & Notes (2024)
- Week 11 Fantasy Football Advice Mailbag (2024)
- Week 11 NFL DFS Picks & Lineup Advice (2024)
- Week 11 Fantasy Football Trade Targets (2024)
- Week 11 Shore Thing Sleepers (2024)
- Week 11 In the Scope Targets (2024)
- PropKings: NFL Week 11 (2024)
Thanks for checking out my favorite prop bets for the NFL in Week 11! Track me down on Twitter/X @BuyAndSellYou for more fantasy football and NFL betting content.
*Photo Credit: Charles LeClaire – USA TODAY Sports*
